Sayulita in October: Weather, Rain Days, Sea Temperature and Crowds

Sayulita in October sits at a turning point. Rain is still in the forecast, but the totals are falling fast: 16.67 inches in September, 7.20 in October, 0.95 in November. The Pacific stays bathwater warm, and the town beach remains a well-known beginner-friendly surf break.

If Sayulita is already settled and the open question is the date, the answer in numbers is 95.2°F afternoons, 72.0°F nights, a sea at 87.6°F and measurable rain on 11.8 days. Anything that does not depend on the date, from lodging to getting around, belongs in our destination guides.

Palm-fringed beach with surfers in the water and a small town behind the sand on Mexico's Pacific coast
Sayulita’s town beach · a beginner-friendly break · Illustration

October in Sayulita is hot, sea-warm and still rainy: 95.2°F highs, 87.6°F water and 11.8 rain days, with rain easing from September’s 22.1 days toward November’s 2.8.

HIGH 95.2°F · SEA 87.6°F · RAIN ON 11.8 DAYS · NOVEMBER IS DRIER

High / low95.2°F / 72.0°F
Rain7.20 in · 11.8 days
Sea (daily maxima)87.6°F
Daylight, Oct 1511 h 42 min
Rain, Sept → Nov16.67 in → 0.95 in
Lodging tax5% (Nayarit)

Go for: a sea at 87.6°F, the beginner surf break on the town beach, and an October with no event on SECTUR’s official calendar.

Think twice before: planning a dry week (rain falls on 11.8 days on average) or pencilling in Playa del Amor for a Monday or Tuesday.

Climate: SMN (CONAGUA) 1991-2020, station 18021 · Sea: Open-Meteo Marine API · Daylight: sunrise-sunset.org · sources listed below

On this page

A note on the readings. Every air figure here comes from the Las Gaviotas weather station (SMN 18021), about 19 miles east across Bahia de Banderas, the nearest official normals for this stretch of coast. Sayulita’s beach town is not measured separately, so read the numbers as the regional climate and expect the spot itself to differ. Sea temperatures come from a different source and period: the Open-Meteo Marine API, 2015-2024.

Sayulita weather in October

Measure October in Sayulita Source
Average high 95.2°F SMN, station 18021
Average low 72.0°F SMN, station 18021
Precipitation 7.20 inches SMN, station 18021
Days with measurable rain 11.8 SMN’s own count
Sea surface (mean of daily maxima) 87.6°F Open-Meteo Marine API, 2015-2024
Daylight on October 15 11 hours 42 minutes sunrise-sunset.org

The Servicio Meteorologico Nacional, Mexico’s national weather service, publishes 1991-2020 normals for the Las Gaviotas station. For October they read an average high of 95.2°F, an average low of 72.0°F and 7.20 inches of precipitation. It is an official thermometer, standing across the bay rather than on Sayulita’s sand.

SMN counts 11.8 days of measurable rain in an average October, a little more than one day in three. The station sheet does not publish the threshold for a rain day, so treat 11.8 as SMN’s own tally and not as a US-style count. The normals also say nothing about the hour rain falls, so keep the outdoor plan you care most about (a boat trip, a surf lesson) as a flexible slot on two different days.

The average afternoon reaches 95.2°F and the average night bottoms out at 72.0°F, a swing of 23.2 degrees. Days are hot and nights stay warm, so pack for heat: light fabrics, sun protection and a thin rain shell. A sweater stays home.

On October 15, daylight lasts about 11 hours 42 minutes (sunrise-sunset.org). The sun comes up just before seven in the morning, local time, and goes down before seven in the evening, so dinner is an after-dark affair and the beach is at its best in the last hour of light.

Can you swim in Sayulita in October? Sea temperature

The Open-Meteo Marine API puts the sea surface off Sayulita at 87.6°F in October, averaged over 2015-2024. That figure is a mean of daily maxima, the warmest reading of each day, so it runs a shade above a 24-hour mean. A table built on 24-hour averages will read lower without being wrong.

At 87.6°F the water feels like a bath, and most people will skip a wetsuit for a swim or a beginner surf lesson. September was warmer at 89.0°F and November drops to 82.9°F, so October sits mid-slide: the sea is cooling but still an easy swim.

Our sources carry no wind or swell series for October, so we give none. Swell decides whether the town beach is a swimming beach or a surf class on a given day: ask the surf school or your hotel that morning. We also did not pull a tropical-storm record for this coast, so check the forecast in the days before you fly.

How busy is Sayulita in October? Crowds and prices

We found no occupancy series and no monthly hotel-rate series for Sayulita, so we crown no month cheap or expensive. What the calendar does say: SECTUR’s official events list has nothing in October. The dated events fall around it: Festival Sayulita (January 30-February 3), a shore fishing tournament (May 25-26), Dia de Muertos (November 1-2), the Surf Open Sayulita (November 22) and the Fiestas Patronales (December 1-12). Some fiestas can slide from year to year.

We have no booking-lead data, so no number of weeks appears here. With rain and storms depending on the forecast, book a rate you can cancel. If November’s dated events tempt you, check SECTUR’s calendar again close to the trip, since moveable fiestas shift.

Nayarit’s lodging tax (Impuesto Sobre Hospedaje) is 5% under Article 62 of the state’s Ley de Hacienda, and the 2026 Ley de Ingresos confirms it. We could not verify how each booking site presents it, so check whether a quoted nightly rate already includes the 5%.

With lows of 72.0°F and highs of 95.2°F, the upgrade that changes the month is air conditioning in the room. A place within walking distance of the sand comes second, since it shortens the trip back through the afternoon heat.

Things to do in Sayulita in October

Small boats on turquoise water beside a rocky island off the Nayarit coast
Boat country off the Bahia de Banderas coast · Illustration

October pairs a sea at 87.6°F with a rain count that has already fallen from September’s 22.1 days to 11.8. That suits the town beach: a well-known beginner-friendly surf break, where at that water temperature a lesson is a long swim with a board. The point break and river-mouth beaches nearby draw more experienced surfers.

Sayulita sits on the same stretch of coast as the boat departures for Islas Marietas National Park. Its Playa del Amor charges a 125-peso CONANP entrance fee and opens Wednesday through Sunday, so Monday and Tuesday are off the table. SECTUR also lists a sea-turtle camp, Campamento Tortuguero Sayulita, among the town’s official attractions. We could not verify its October schedule, so call ahead. We also have no tour-boat price list.

The sea off these places reads 87.6°F now against 82.9°F in November (Open-Meteo Marine API), so the water cools next month. The air barely moves, with October highs of 95.2°F and November highs of 94.3°F. What separates the two months is the nights (72.0°F now, 66.4°F in November) and the rain.

Our sources give no admission figure for the town beach or the turtle camp, so we name no price and label nothing free. The one fee we could verify is the 125 pesos at Playa del Amor.

Sayulita itinerary for October

Day one, town and beach. Be on the sand at first light, just before seven, while the air is still short of its 95.2°F afternoon high: a beginner surf lesson or a swim in 87.6°F water. Have breakfast in the shade mid-morning. In the hottest hours, stay in the water or in a room with air conditioning. Save the walk through town for the last stretch of daylight, since sunset comes before seven.

Day two, Playa del Amor. Pick a Wednesday-to-Sunday date and the earliest boat slot: the park opens at 8:00 a.m. and closes at 5:00 p.m. Get the operator’s boat price before committing, because we could not verify one. If the sky turns, swap the day with another open one, and use the rainy stretch for the turtle camp after a phone call to confirm hours.

Sayulita in October vs September and November

Measure September October November
Average high 94.3°F 95.2°F 94.3°F
Average low 73.6°F 72.0°F 66.4°F
Precipitation 16.67 inches 7.20 inches 0.95 inches
Days with measurable rain 22.1 11.8 2.8
Sea surface (Open-Meteo Marine API) 89.0°F 87.6°F 82.9°F

Rain is what moves. September brings measurable rain on roughly three days in four, October on a little more than one in three, November on fewer than one in ten. Afternoon highs stay within 0.9 degrees of each other across all three months. The change is at night, where the low slips from 73.6°F to 72.0°F to 66.4°F.

Waiting a month for November buys 9.0 fewer rain days and 6.25 inches less rain. It costs a sea 4.7 degrees cooler and nights 5.6 degrees cooler, plus the November dates on SECTUR’s calendar. Going a month earlier gets a sea 1.4 degrees warmer and rain on 22.1 days.

Is October a good time to visit Sayulita?

Yes for anyone who wants a warm sea and can live with rain on roughly one day in three, with highs of 95.2°F. No for anyone who needs a dry week. The U.S. State Department rates Nayarit at Level 2, ‘Exercise increased caution’, and that advisory is worth reading before you book.

If the rain count rules October out, pick November: 0.95 inches, 2.8 rain days and a sea still at 82.9°F, with nights down to 66.4°F. Other destinations at their best in November are listed in Where to Go by Month.

In one line: 87.6°F water, a rain total already cut to 7.20 inches from September’s 16.67, and a calendar with no official event.

The last word

October in Sayulita is a warm-water month with a rain habit you can plan around: surf at first light, shade at midday, a refundable room and a Wednesday-to-Sunday morning saved for Playa del Amor. For flights, SECTUR names Puerto Vallarta International Airport and Tepic International Airport (TPQ), about an hour east of the coast, as the two air gateways to this stretch of Nayarit.

Sources & data for this guide
  • Air normals (high, low, precipitation, rain days), October and neighboring months · Servicio Meteorologico Nacional (CONAGUA), 1991-2020, station 18021 Las Gaviotas, Bahia de Banderas · checked Sep 30, 2026
  • Sea surface temperature, mean of daily maxima 2015-2024 · Open-Meteo Marine API · checked Sep 30, 2026
  • Daylight on October 15 · sunrise-sunset.org · checked Sep 30, 2026
  • Lodging tax, Article 62 of the Ley de Hacienda del Estado de Nayarit, confirmed by the 2026 Ley de Ingresos · Nayarit state government · checked Sep 30, 2026
  • Events calendar, turtle camp and air gateways · SECTUR, gob.mx, page for Sayulita, Nayarit · checked Sep 30, 2026
  • Playa del Amor fee and opening days · CONANP, Islas Marietas · checked Sep 30, 2026
  • Nayarit advisory · U.S. Department of State, Mexico Travel Advisory · checked Sep 30, 2026
  • Editorial admission: we found no occupancy or hotel-rate series, no wind or swell record for October and no tour-boat price list. Fees, hours and event dates change, so confirm with operators when you book.